2020 United States presidential election in California

2020 United States presidential election in California

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout%
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Joe Biden 2013.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence TBA

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

TBA

The 2020 United States presidential election in California is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] California voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of California has 55 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Primary elections[edit]

In a departure from previous election cycles, California held its primaries on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[3] Early voting began several weeks earlier.

Donald Trump secured the Republican nomination on March 17, 2020, defeating several longshot candidates, most notably former Governor Bill Weld. Kamala Harris, the state's junior U.S. Senator, was among the Democratic candidates declared until she dropped out on December 3, 2019. Representative Eric Swalwell from the 15th district was also a Democratic candidate but dropped out of the race on July 8, 2019. Other prominent state figures, including former Governor Jerry Brown, current Governor Gavin Newsom, and Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti have declined to run.[4][5][6]

Republican primary[edit]

The Republican party's primary campaign has been dominated by a lawsuit over the President's taxes.[7] The suit alleges that the new requirement for several years of a candidate's taxes was unconstitutional and onerous. The law was blocked in September 2019 while State Supreme court heard testimony and made a ruling.[8]

As a contingency, the Republican state committee changed its delegate selection process, turning the primary into a mere "beauty contest" and setting up an emergency state convention to Trump’s delegate choices.[9] Should Trump be allowed on the ballot, the convention would be canceled and the so-called "winner-take-most" rules, which require a challenger to get 20% of the vote, would apply.

President Trump was allowed on the ballot, and the contingency convention was canceled.


2020 California Republican primary[10]
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump 2,279,120 92.2% 172
Bill Weld 66,904 2.7%
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 64,749 2.6%
Rocky De La Fuente 24,351 1.0%
Matthew John Matern 15,469 0.6%
Robert Ardini 12,857 0.5%
Zoltan Istvan 8,141 0.3%
Total 2,471,591 100%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates began filing their paperwork on November 4, 2019, and the final list will be announced on December 9.

There were major complaints by Democrats there that Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren were snubbing the state by refusing to attend a forum at the State's "endorsement convention.[11] Early voting began on February 11 and ended the day before primary day.

Bernie Sanders rally at the Los Angeles Convention Center
Senator Bernie Sanders at a campaign rally in San Jose, California on March 1, 2020
Joe Biden's presidential campaign in Bel Air, Los Angeles on March 5, 2020


2020 California Democratic primary[12]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[13]
Bernie Sanders 2,080,846 36.0 221
Joe Biden 1,613,854 27.9 172
Elizabeth Warren 762,555 13.2 12
Michael Bloomberg 701,803 12.1 9
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn[a]) 249,256 4.3
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn[a]) 126,961 2.2
Tom Steyer (withdrawn[a]) 113,092 2.0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 43,571 0.8
Tulsi Gabbard 33,769 0.6
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 13,892 0.2
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 7,377 0.1
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 7,052 0.1
Roque De La Fuente III 6,151 0.1
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 6,000 0.1
John Delaney (withdrawn) 4,606 0.1
Michael Ellinger 3,424 0.1
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) 3,270 0.1
Mark Greenstein 3,190 0.1
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 2,022 0.0
Mosie Boyd 1,639 0.0
Total 5,784,330 414 (of 415)

Libertarian primary[edit]

The Libertarian Party of California permitted non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.[14]

California Libertarian primary, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Jacob Hornberger 2,898 17.5
Libertarian Ken Armstrong 1,921 11.6
Libertarian Vermin Supreme 1,921 11.6
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen 1,896 11.4
Libertarian Kim Ruff (withdrawn) 1,459 8.8
Libertarian Adam Kokesh 1,302 7.9
Libertarian Dan "Taxation is Theft" Behrman 1,039 6.3
Libertarian Sam Robb 993 6.0
Libertarian Max Abramson 970 5.9
Libertarian Steve Richey 649 3.9
Libertarian Souraya Faas 590 3.6
Libertarian Erik Gerhardt 486 2.9
Libertarian Keenan Wallace Dunham 440 2.7
Total votes 16,564 100%

Green primary[edit]

2020 California Green primary[16]
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Howie Hawkins 4,202 36.2% 16 estimated
Dario Hunter 2,558 22.0% 9 estimated
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry 2,071 17.8% 8 estimated
Dennis Lambert 1,999 17.2% 7 estimated
David Rolde 774 6.7% 3 estimated
Total 9,656 100.00% 43

Other primaries[edit]

American Independent primary[edit]

The American Independent Party permitted non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.[14]

California American Independent primary, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
American Independent Phil Collins 11,532 32.8
American Independent Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente 7,263 21.0
American Independent Don Blankenship 6,913 19.7
American Independent J.R. Myers 5,099 14.5
American Independent Charles Kraut 4,216 12.0
Total votes 35,723 100%

Peace and Freedom primary[edit]

California Peace and Freedom primary, 2020[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Peace and Freedom Gloria La Riva 2,570 66.0
Peace and Freedom Howie Hawkins 1,325 34.0
Total votes 3,895 100%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Safe D March 9, 2020
Inside Elections[19] Safe D April 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D April 2, 2020
Politico[21] Safe D April 19, 2020
RCP[22] Safe D April 19, 2020
Niskanen[23] Safe D March 24, 2020

Polling[edit]

Aggregate polls[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided[b] Margin
270 to Win Apr 1, 2020 Apr 1, 2020 67.0% 29.0% Biden + 38
Real Clear Politics Nov 20, 2019 – Feb 26, 2020 Feb 26, 2020 59.5% 33.5% Biden +26.0
with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA May 18–19, 2020 537 (LV) ± 5.4% 30% 58% 5% 7%
Emerson College May 8–10, 2020 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 29% 59% 12%
Public Policy Polling Mar 28–29, 2020 962 (RV) 29% 67% 3%
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 26% 62% 12%
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) 31% 59% 4% 4%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 35% 60% 3%[d] 3%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) 31% 58% 11%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 37% 57% 6%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 30% 60% 4%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 35% 59% 6%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–8, 2019 1,011 (RV) ± 3.4% 36% 56% 3%[e] 5%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 32% 59% 9%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 32% 59% 9%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 36% 64%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 31% 57% 11%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 27% 61% 12%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 33% 56% 11%
Former candidates
with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 28% 60% 12%
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) 31% 59% 6%[f] 4%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 36% 59% 3%[g] 2%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) 31% 59% 10%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 37% 58% 6%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 31% 61% 4%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.7% 36% 59% 5%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–8, 2019 1,011 (RV) ± 3.4% 38% 54% 4%[h] 4%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 60% 7%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 33% 59% 8%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 38% 63%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 33% 57% 10%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 29% 62% 9%
with Donald Trump and Tulsi Gabbard
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Tulsi
Gabbard (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 38% 43% 19%
with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 28% 60% 12%
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) 32% 57% 5%[i] 6%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 37% 56% 3%[j] 4%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) 33% 58% 10%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 38% 54% 8%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 32% 59% 4%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 39% 55% 7%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–8, 2019 1,011 (RV) ± 3.4% 37% 53% 4%[k] 6%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 35% 56% 9%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 33% 55% 12%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 35% 56% 8%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 39% 61%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 35% 53% 12%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 30% 58% 12%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 53% 14%
with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 25% 51% 24%
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) 32% 51% 10%[l] 7%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 35% 55% 4%[m] 5%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) 30% 54% 16%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 34% 59% 7%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 31% 57% 6%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 36% 56% 8%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 50% 16%
with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) 31% 59% 7%[n] 7%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 35% 55% 4%[o] 6%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) 30% 57% 13%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 37% 52% 11%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 38% 50% 11%
with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) 33% 54% 8%[p] 6%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 35% 56% 4%[q] 4%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) 30% 58% 12%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 36% 56% 8%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 31% 57% 6%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 53% 10%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–8, 2019 1,011 (RV) ± 3.4% 36% 53% 4%[r] 7%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 52% 14%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 32% 54% 13%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.8% 30% 53% 17%
with Donald Trump and Tom Steyer
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Tom
Steyer (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 38% 54% 9%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 53% 10%
with Donald Trump and Deval Patrick
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Deval
Patrick (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 34% 34% 32%
with Donald Trump and Andrew Yang
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Andrew
Yang (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 53% 10%
with Donald Trump and Cory Booker
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Cory
Booker (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 39% 26%
with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 35% 56% 8%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 35% 57% 8%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 39% 61%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 35% 53% 12%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 30% 59% 12%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 54% 12%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 33% 53% 13%
with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 34% 51% 15%
with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 33% 47% 19%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 46% 22%
Hypothetical polling
with Donald Trump and Jerry Brown
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Jerry
Brown (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 54% 11%
with Donald Trump and Sherrod Brown
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 36% 29%
with Donald Trump and Eric Garcetti
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Eric
Garcetti (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 34% 49% 17%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 46% 21%
with Donald Trump and Tom Hanks
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Tom
Hanks (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 34% 51% 15%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 31% 56% 14%
with Donald Trump and Eric Holder
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Eric
Holder (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 38% 26%
with Donald Trump and Mitch Landrieu
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Mitch
Landrieu (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 36% 29%
with Donald Trump and Michelle Obama
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michelle
Obama (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 28% 64% 8%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 36% 57% 8%
with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Oprah
Winfrey (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 28% 57% 14%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 52% 13%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 56% 12%
with Donald Trump and Mark Zuckerberg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Mark
Zuckerberg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 36% 42% 22%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 31% 50% 19%
with Mike Pence and Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 29% 59% 12%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 30% 58% 13%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 27% 58% 15%
with Mike Pence and Michael Bloomberg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20-22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 32% 48% 20%
with Mike Pence and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 48% 17%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 34% 45% 21%
with Mike Pence and Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 31% 59% 9%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 31% 58% 10%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 31% 57% 13%
with Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 53% 13%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 33% 55% 12%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 33% 50% 16%
with Nikki Haley and Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 21% 56% 23%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 21% 56% 24%
with Nikki Haley and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 24% 44% 32%
with Nikki Haley and Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 23% 58% 19%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 24% 56% 19%
with Nikki Haley and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 23% 52% 24%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 25% 49% 26%
Hypothetical polling with former candidates
with Mike Pence and Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 54% 12%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 33% 55% 12%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 34% 51% 15%
with Mike Pence and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 34% 47% 20%
with Nikki Haley and Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 23% 52% 25%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 24% 51% 25%
with Nikki Haley and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 25% 44% 30%

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c Candidate withdrew after early voting started, but before Super Tuesday.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  5. ^ Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  6. ^ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 3%
  7. ^ Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  8. ^ Other with 1%; neither with 3%
  9. ^ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  10. ^ Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  11. ^ Other with 1%; neither with 3%
  12. ^ "Other" with 6%; would not vote with 4%
  13. ^ Other with 0%; neither with 4%
  14. ^ "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
  15. ^ Other with 0%; neither with 4%
  16. ^ "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 3%
  17. ^ Other with 0%; neither with 4%
  18. ^ Other with 1%; neither with 3%

References[edit]

  1. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ Dezenski, Lauren (December 19, 2018). "Why California leapfrogged the 2020 primary schedule". Retrieved March 4, 2019.
  4. ^ Richards, Sam (March 30, 2017). "Jerry Brown for president? 'Don't rule it out!'". Contra Costa Times. Retrieved May 10, 2017.
  5. ^ Steinmetz, Katy (September 9, 2017). "The Philosopher King". Time. Retrieved November 7, 2017.
  6. ^ Desk, Washington (March 4, 2019). "Former AG Eric Holder rules out 2020 run".
  7. ^ "California justices skeptical of requiring Trump tax returns". KCRA. November 6, 2019.
  8. ^ Augie Martin and Paul LeBlanc. "Federal judge halts California law forcing Trump to release tax returns to qualify for ballot". CNN. Retrieved 2019-12-10.
  9. ^ "California GOP opens alternative pathway for 2020 delegates". AP NEWS. September 8, 2019.
  10. ^ "California Republican Primary Results". electionresults.sos.ca.gov. Retrieved 20 March 2020.
  11. ^ "Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren snubbing the Golden State, says California Democratic Party chair". November 6, 2019.
  12. ^ "California Presidential Primary Election - President Democratic - Statewide Results". electionresults.sos.ca.gov. Retrieved 2020-04-18.
  13. ^ "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved April 2, 2020.
  14. ^ a b Myers, John (October 21, 2019). "California independents can cast ballots for Democrats — but not Trump — in March primary". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved November 17, 2019.
  15. ^ a b Generally Recognized Presidential Candidates – March 3, 2020, Presidential Primary Election
  16. ^ "California Green Party Primary". er.ncsbe.gov. Retrieved March 4, 2020.
  17. ^ "2020 California Presidential Primary Election Results". Election Results.
  18. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  19. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  20. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  21. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  22. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  23. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020