2020 United States presidential election in California

2020 United States presidential election in California

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The 2020 United States presidential election in California is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] California voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of California has 55 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

The Primary[edit]

In a departure from previous election cycles, California will hold its primaries on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[3] Early voting will begin several weeks earlier, which means that the first votes of the cycle will be cast here.[4]

As of Fall 2019, Donald Trump, Bill Weld, Mark Sanford, and Joe Walsh are the declared Republican candidates. Kamala Harris, the state's junior U.S. Senator, is among the Democratic candidates declared. Representative Eric Swalwell from the 15th district was also a Democratic candidate but dropped out of the race on July 8, 2019. Other prominent state figures, including former Governor Jerry Brown, current Governor Gavin Newsom, Los Angeles Mayor, and Eric Garcetti have declined to run.[5][6][7]

Republicans[edit]

The Republican party's primary campaign has been dominated by a lawsuit over the President's taxes.[8] The suit alleges that the new requirement for several years of a candidate's taxes was unconstitutional and onerous. The law was blocked in September 2019 while State Supreme court heard testimony and made a ruling.

As a contingency, the Republican state committee changed its delegate selection process, turning the primary into a mere "beauty contest" and setting up an emergency state convention to ratify the President's delegate choices.[9] Should Trump be allowed on the ballot, the convention would be canceled and the so-called "winner-take most" rules, which require a challenger to get 20% of the vote, would apply.

Democratic[edit]

Candidates began filing their paperwork on November 4, 2019, and the final list will be announced on December 9.

There were major complaints by Democrats there that Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren were snubbing the state by refusing to attend a forum at the State's "endorsement convention.[10]

Libertarians[edit]

The Libertarian Party of California is permitting non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.[11]

Polling[edit]

with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 32% 59% 9%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 36% 64%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 31% 57% 11%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 27% 61% 12%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 33% 56% 11%
with Donald Trump and Cory Booker
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Cory
Booker (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 39% 26%
with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 32% 54% 13%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.8% 30% 53% 17%
with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 33% 47% 19%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 46% 22%
with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 35% 57% 8%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 39% 61%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 35% 53% 12%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 30% 59% 12%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 54% 12%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 33% 53% 13%
with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 34% 51% 15%
with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 33% 59% 8%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 38% 63%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 33% 57% 10%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 29% 62% 9%
with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 33% 55% 12%
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 35% 56% 8%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 39% 61%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 35% 53% 12%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 30% 58% 12%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 53% 14%
Hypothetical polling
with Donald Trump and Jerry Brown
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Jerry
Brown (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 54% 11%
with Donald Trump and Sherrod Brown
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 36% 29%
with Donald Trump and Eric Garcetti
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Eric
Garcetti (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 34% 49% 17%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 46% 21%
with Donald Trump and Tom Hanks
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Tom
Hanks (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 34% 51% 15%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 31% 56% 14%
with Donald Trump and Eric Holder
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Eric
Holder (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 38% 26%
with Donald Trump and Mitch Landrieu
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Mitch
Landrieu (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 36% 29%
with Donald Trump and Michelle Obama
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michelle
Obama (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 28% 64% 8%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 36% 57% 8%
with Donald Trump and Deval Patrick
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Deval
Patrick (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 34% 34% 32%
with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Oprah
Winfrey (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 28% 57% 14%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 52% 13%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 56% 12%
with Donald Trump and Mark Zuckerberg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Mark
Zuckerberg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 36% 42% 22%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 31% 50% 19%
with Mike Pence and Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 30% 58% 13%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 27% 58% 15%
with Mike Pence and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 34% 45% 21%
with Mike Pence and Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 33% 55% 12%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 34% 51% 15%
with Mike Pence and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 34% 47% 20%
with Mike Pence and Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 31% 58% 10%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 31% 57% 13%
with Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 33% 55% 12%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 33% 50% 16%
with Nikki Haley and Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 21% 56% 23%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 21% 56% 24%
with Nikki Haley and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 24% 44% 32%
with Nikki Haley and Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 23% 52% 25%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 24% 51% 25%
with Nikki Haley and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 25% 44% 30%
with Nikki Haley and Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 23% 58% 19%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 24% 56% 19%
with Nikki Haley and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15-16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 23% 52% 24%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 25% 49% 26%

See also[edit]

References[edit]