2020 California Democratic primary

2020 California Democratic primary

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495 delegates (416 pledged, 79 unpledged)

The 2020 California Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020, as one of 14 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The California primary is a semi-closed primary, with the state awarding 495 delegates, of which 416 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Procedure[edit]

California is one of 14 states holding primaries on March 3, 2020, also known as "Super Tuesday",[1] having joined other states on the date after the signing of the Prime Time Primary Act by governor Jerry Brown on September 27, 2017, in an effort to increase the influence of the delegate-rich state in the nomination process.[2]

Candidates may obtain ballot access in a number of ways. They must have.:

  • "...qualified for funding under the Federal Election Campaign Act of 1974 (52 U.S.C. Sec. 30101, et seq.)
  • appeared as a candidate in a national presidential debate hosted by a political party qualified to participate in a primary election, with at least two participating candidates, and publicly available for viewing by voters in more than one state during the current presidential election cycle. A “political party qualified to participate in a primary election” means any political party qualified in California, a major or minor-ballot qualified political party in another state, or a national committee of a political party recognized by the Federal Election Commission
  • placed or qualified for placement on a presidential primary ballot or a caucus ballot of a major or minor ballot-qualified political party in at least one other state in the current presidential election cycle
  • candidate or qualified to be a candidate in a caucus of a major or minor ballot-qualified political party in at least one other state in the current presidential election cycle
  • has the following: current presidential campaign internet website or webpage hosted by the candidate or a qualified political party, and a written request submitted on the candidate's behalf by a party qualified to participate in the primary election to the Secretary of State requesting the candidate be placed on the presidential primary ballot."

If they do not have at least one of those qualifications, they may submit petitions of 500 signatures from each of the state's congressional districts obtained from November 4 to December 13, 2019.

They also must submit their tax returns for the previous five years.[3]

The official list of qualified candidates will be released on December 6, 2019. Unqualified candidates must submit their petitions by this date.

Military and overseas mail-in ballots will be sent out on January 3, 2020, and early voting centers will be open for business on February 22 and will continue until March 3.

Election day voting will take place throughout the state from 7 a.m. until 8 p.m. In the semi-closed primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 416 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 416 pledged delegates, between 4 and 7 are allocated to each of the state's 53 congressional districts and another 54 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 90 at-large pledged delegates. Bonus delegates will be allocated as California shares a primary date with numerous other states on Super Tuesday; these numbers do not yet account for these delegates.[4]

Following the primary, district-level delegates to the national convention will be elected on April 19, 2020 in the post-primary caucus. Should presidential candidates be allocated more delegates based on the results of the primary than delegate candidates presented, then supplemental delegates will be elected at caucuses on May 9, 2020. The national convention delegation meeting will subsequently be held on May 17, 2020 to vote on the 54 pledged at-large and 90 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 416 pledged delegates California sends to the national convention will be joined by 79 un-pledged PLEO delegates (30 members of the Democratic National Committee; 48 members of Congress, including two Senators, notably Kamala Harris, as well as 46 U.S. Representatives, notably Eric Swalwell; and the governor).[4]

Candidates[edit]

The following candidates currently meet at least two of the above qualifications[5]:

Polling[edit]

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date
updated
Dates
polled
Joe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Pete
Buttigieg
Andrew
Yang
Michael
Bloomberg
Others Undecided[a]
270 to Win Dec 11, 2019 Nov 18 – Dec 11, 2019 21.8% 19.8% 18.8% 9.0% 4.8% 3.7% 8.2%[b] 14.5%
RealClear Politics Dec 5, 2019 Oct 15 – Nov 27, 2019 21.3% 20.8% 21.5% 9.0% 4.0% 2.5% 16.0%[c] 4.9%
Average 21.6% 20.3% 20.2% 9.0% 4.4% 3.1% 12.3%[d] 9.3%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
Other Undecided
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–8 508 (LV) ± 5.2% 21% 3% 9% 20% 17% 6% 12%[f] 11%
Dec 3, 2019 Harris withdraws from the race
Berkeley IGS/LA Times Nov 21–27, 2019 1,252 (LV) 14% 1% 12% 7% 24% 22% 3% 12%[g] 9%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 558 (LV) ± 4.8% 28% 3% 8% 10% 18% 13% 5% 11%[h] 5%
Capitol Weekly Nov 1–13, 2019 695 (LV) 18% 1% 14% 6% 21% 27% 4% 8%[i] 1%

Public Policy Institute of
California

Nov 3–12, 2019 682 (LV) 24% 1% 7% 8% 17% 23% 5% 6%[j] 9%
Nov 1, 2019 O'Rourke withdraws from the race
Change Research Oct 15–18, 2019 1,631 (LV) 19% 1% 9% 8% 1% 24% 28% 3% 6%[k]
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 553 (LV) ± 6.9% 33% 2% 4% 8% 2% 17% 18% 4% 5%[l] 8%
Capitol Weekly Oct 1–15, 2019 590 (LV) 21% 2% 6% 8% No voters 15% 35% 3% 9%[m]
Public Policy Institute of
California
Sep 16–25, 2019 692 (LV) ± 4.9% 22% 2% 6% 8% 1% 21% 23% 3% 7%[n] 9%
Berkeley IGS/LA Times Sep 13–18, 2019 2,272 20% 1% 6% 8% 3% 19% 29% 2% 5%[o] 8%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 424 ± 4.7% 26% 1% 4% 6% 5% 26% 20% 7% 4%[p]
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 547 ± 4.8% 27% 2% 3% 13% 2% 18% 16% 7% 4%[q] 7%
KQED/Change Research Sep 12–15, 2019 3,325 ± 1.7% 18% 2% 10% 11% 2% 23% 25% 3% 5%[r]
Capitol Weekly Sep 1–13, 2019 599 18% 1% 7% 11% 2% 21% 29% 4% 5%[s]
Capitol Weekly Sep 1–13, 2019 5,510 18% 1% 8% 11% 2% 17% 33% 3% 7%[t]
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 528 ± 6.3% 25% 1% 6% 17% 0% 18% 21% 1% 1%[u] 10%
PPIC Jul 14–23, 2019 766 ± 4.4% 11% 5% 19% 12% 15% 14%[v] 25%
YouGov/CBS News Jul 9–18, 2019 1,514 ± 2.9% 24% 1% 6% 23% 1% 16% 19% 1% 9%[w]
Quinnipiac University Jul 10–15, 2019 519 ± 5.7% 21% 1% 3% 23% 1% 18% 16% 2% 2%[x] 10%
Capitol Weekly Jul 1–15, 2019 816 20% 1% 8% 20% 2% 16% 25% 1% 7%[y]
Change Research Jul 9–11, 2019 1,609 ± 2.5% 17% 1% 8% 23% 2% 20% 22% 2% 5%[z]
Jul 8, 2019 Swalwell withdraws from the race
Capitol Weekly[6] Jun 1–30, 2019 813 23% 2% 8% 14% 2% 19% 23% 2% 9%[aa]
UC Berkeley Jun 4–10, 2019 2,131 ± 3.0% 22% 1% 10% 13% 3% 17% 18% 1% 3%[ab] 11%
Capitol Weekly[6] May 1–31, 2019 1,180 29% 2% 9% 17% 4% 22% 11% 0% 6%[ac]
Change Research May 25–28, 2019 1,649 ± 2.4% 30% 1% 12% 15% 3% 23% 12% 1% 2%[ad]
Capitol Weekly[6] Apr 15–30, 2019 1,204 20% 2% 19% 17% 4% 20% 10% 9%[ae]
Change Research Apr 6–9, 2019 2,003 ± 2.2% 21% 3% 9% 19% 10% 22% 8% 1% 7%[af]
5% 11% 27% 16% 28% 9% 1% 5%[ag]
Quinnipiac University Apr 3–8, 2019 482 ± 5.9% 26% 2% 7% 17% 4% 18% 7% 1% 6%[ah] 13%
Change Research Feb 9–11, 2019 948 26% 3% 1% 26% 8% 20% 7% 0% 7%[ai]
7% 2% 53% 23% 1% 15%[aj]

Results[edit]

California Democratic primary, 2020[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michael Bennet
Democratic Joe Biden
Democratic Michael Bloomberg
Democratic Cory Booker
Democratic Mosie Boyd
Democratic Pete Buttigieg
Democratic Julián Castro
Democratic Rocky De La Fuente III
Democratic John Delaney
Democratic Michael A. Ellinger
Democratic Tulsi Gabbard
Democratic Amy Klobuchar
Democratic Deval Patrick
Democratic Bernie Sanders
Democratic Joe Sestak
Democratic Mark Stewart Greenstein
Democratic Tom Steyer
Democratic Elizabeth Warren
Democratic Marianne Williamson
Democratic Andrew Yang
Total votes 100%

Notes[edit]

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  2. ^ Booker with 2.0%; Gabbard with 1.7%; Steyer and Klobuchar with 1.5%; Castro with 1.0%; Bennet with 0.5%; Williamson, Patrick, and Delaney with 0.0%
  3. ^ Harris with 8.3%; Klobuchar with 1.8%; Gabbard with 1.7%; Booker and Steyer with 1.5%; Castro with 0.7%, Bennet with 0.5%
  4. ^ Harris with 4.2%; Booker with 1.8%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 1.7%; Steyer with 1.5%; Castro with 0.9%; Bennet with 0.5%; Williamson, Patrick, and Delaney with 0.0%
  5. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  6. ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Castro and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick, and Williamson with 0%; "None/No one" with 1%
  7. ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Gabbard, Steyer with 1%, Bullock, Delaney, Patrick, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
  8. ^ Bloomberg and Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Patrick with 0%; others with 1%
  9. ^ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%
  10. ^ Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; other with 4%
  11. ^ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
  12. ^ Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Steyer, and some other Democrat with 1%
  13. ^ Castro and Gabbard with 2%; Klobuchar, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; de Blasio and Ryan with 0%; no response with 2%
  14. ^ Castro with 2%; Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; someone else with 3%
  15. ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Bennet, Castro and Gabbard with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%;
  16. ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Klobuchar, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%
  17. ^ Castro with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; someone else with 1%
  18. ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Steyer with 0%
  19. ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Steyer with 0%
  20. ^ Gabbard with 3%; Castro, Klobuchar, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney and Ryan with 0%
  21. ^ Gabbard with 1%
  22. ^ "Anyone" with 2%; "None of them" with 5%; "Others" with 7%
  23. ^ Bennet, Castro, Gabbard, Gravel, Klobuchar, Steyer, Williamson with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
  24. ^ Castro and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, and Williamson with <1%, others with <1%
  25. ^ Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Klobuchar, & Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Swalwell & Steyer with 0%
  26. ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar & Inslee with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer & Williamson with 0%
  27. ^ Gabbard & Hickenlooper with 2%; Bennet, Gillibrand & Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan & Williamson with 0%
  28. ^ Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  29. ^ Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Ryan & Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Inslee & Williamson with 0%
  30. ^ Castro and Gabbard with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  31. ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Inslee with 2%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Ryan & Swalwell with 1%; Castro with 0%
  32. ^ Castro with 2%; Abrams, Gabbard, Inslee, Klobuchar, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
  33. ^ Castro with 2%; Gabbard, Klobuchar, and Ryan with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
  34. ^ Castro and Klobuchar with 2%; Gabbard and Inslee with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Williamson with <1%; others with <1%
  35. ^ Castro with 2%; Brown, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Holder, and Klobuchar with 1%; Bloomberg, Bullock, Cuomo, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, and Williamsonwith 0%
  36. ^ Castro with 6%; Gabbard with 4%; Delaney and Gillibrand with 2%; Williamson with 1%

References[edit]

External links[edit]