2004 United States presidential election in Maryland

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United States presidential election in Maryland, 2004

← 2000 November 2, 2004 2008 →
  John F. Kerry.jpg George-W-Bush.jpeg
Nominee John Kerry George W. Bush
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Massachusetts Texas
Running mate John Edwards Dick Cheney
Electoral vote 10 0
Popular vote 1,334,493 1,024,703
Percentage 55.91% 42.93%

MarylandPresidentialElection2004.svg
County Results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in Maryland took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 10 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Maryland was won by Democratic nominee John Kerry by a 13.0% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Kerry would win, or otherwise considered as a safe blue state. The last Republican to carry the state in a presidential election was George H.W. Bush in 1988.

Primaries[edit]

Campaign[edit]

Predictions[edit]

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Democratic
  2. Associated Press: Solid Kerry
  3. CNN: Kerry
  4. Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
  5. Newsweek: Solid Kerry
  6. New York Times: Solid Kerry
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Kerry
  8. Research 2000: Solid Kerry
  9. Washington Post: Kerry
  10. Washington Times: Solid Kerry
  11. Zogby International: Kerry
  12. Washington Dispatch: Kerry

Polling[edit]

Kerry won every pre-election poll. The final 3 poll average showed Kerry leading 52% to 42%.[2]

Fundraising[edit]

Bush raised $4,174,964.[3] Kerry raised $7,553,542, which was 4% of the total money raised by Kerry in 2004.[4]

Advertising and visits[edit]

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.[5][6]

Analysis[edit]

Bush did win most of the counties in Maryland, but he lost the central part of the state (Washington DC suburbs and Baltimore), where most of the population is. The middle section is very urban and includes a large number of African Americans, many of whom are affluent (specifically in the Democratic stronghold of Prince George's County). Bush dominated Western Maryland and the state's Eastern Shore, which are very rural, but he carried only two congressional districts (see below). However, Kerry's margin of victory was slightly less than in 2000, when Gore won by 16%.

Results[edit]

United States presidential election in Maryland, 2004
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Democratic Party John Kerry John Edwards 1,334,493 55.9% 10
Republican Party George W. Bush (Inc.) Dick Cheney 1,024,703 42.9% 0
Populist Party[7] Ralph Nader Peter Camejo 11,854 0.5% 0
Libertarian Party Michael Badnarik Richard Campagna 6,094 0.3% 0
Green Party David Cobb Patricia LaMarche 3,632 0.2% 0
Constitution Party Michael Peroutka Chuck Baldwin 3,421 0.1% 0
Write Ins 2,481 0.1% 0
Totals - 100.00% 10
Voter turnout (Voting Age population) 59%

Results breakdown[edit]

By county[edit]

County Kerry% Kerry# Bush% Bush# Others% Others# Total
Allegany County 35.77% 10,576 64.20% 18,980 0.03% 9 29,565
Anne Arundel County 43.63% 103,324 56.25% 133,231 0.12% 280 236,835
Baltimore County 52.31% 182,474 47.60% 166,051 0.10% 333 348,858
Calvert County 40.92% 15,967 58.99% 23,017 0.08% 33 39,017
Caroline County 33.98% 3,810 65.95% 7,396 0.07% 8 11,214
Carroll County 29.33% 22,974 70.57% 55,275 0.10% 82 78,331
Cecil County 39.40% 14,680 60.54% 22,556 0.05% 19 37,255
Charles County 50.76% 29,354 49.18% 28,442 0.06% 37 57,833
Dorchester County 40.93% 5,411 59.01% 7,801 0.06% 8 13,220
Frederick County 39.68% 39,503 60.20% 59,934 0.12% 122 99,559
Garrett County 26.58% 3,291 73.37% 9,085 0.05% 6 12,382
Harford County 35.64% 39,685 64.28% 71,565 0.08% 89 111,339
Howard County 54.68% 72,257 45.20% 59,724 0.12% 161 132,142
Kent County 46.56% 4,278 53.33% 4,900 0.11% 10 9,188
Montgomery County 66.67% 273,936 33.18% 136,334 0.16% 641 410,911
Prince George's County 82.36% 260,532 17.56% 55,532 0.08% 265 316,329
Queen Anne's County 32.77% 7,070 67.17% 14,489 0.06% 13 21,572
Somerset County 45.22% 4,034 54.75% 4,884 0.03% 3 8,921
St. Mary's County 36.70% 13,776 63.21% 23,725 0.09% 33 37,534
Talbot County 39.47% 7,367 60.47% 11,288 0.06% 12 18,667
Washington County 35.55% 20,387 64.37% 36,917 0.07% 43 57,347
Wicomico County 40.72% 15,137 59.18% 21,998 0.10% 37 37,172
Worcester County 38.58% 9,648 61.37% 15,349 0.06% 14 25,011
Baltimore City 82.78% 175,022 17.14% 36,230 0.09% 182 211,434

By congressional district[edit]

Kerry won 6 of 8 congressional districts.[8]

District Bush Kerry Representative
1st 62% 36% Wayne Gilchrest
2nd 45% 54% Dutch Ruppersberger
3rd 45% 54% Ben Cardin
4th 21% 78% Albert Wynn
5th 42% 57% Steny Hoyer
6th 65% 34% Roscoe Bartlett
7th 26% 73% Elijah Cummings
8th 30% 69% Chris Van Hollen

Electors[edit]

Technically the voters of Maryland cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Maryland is allocated 10 electors because it has 8 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 10 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 10 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 10 were pledged for Kerry/Edwards:[9]

  1. Norman Conway
  2. Delores Kelley
  3. Lainey Lebow Sachs
  4. Pam Jackson
  5. Dorothy Chaney
  6. John Riley
  7. Wendy Fielde
  8. Daphne Bloomberg
  9. Tom Perez
  10. Gary Gensler

References[edit]

See also[edit]